December 4th, 2025 Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. Here are all the situations we're monitoring today:  We Live Fam? Good morning. There is a 99.4% chance that Polymarket's iOS app will be available to US traders this year. Do you need an invite code? The first 20 people who email oracle@polymarket.com will get one. |
"Alpha Raccoon" Rapper d4vd unexpectedly landed at the top of Google's most searched person list this year. And one trader, Alpha Raccoon, made nearly $1m in a series of highly profitable trades just before the announcement dropped. Follow his wallet to see what he does next. |
Portugal Round 1 of Portugal's presidential election is set for January 18. Center-right, EU-friendly Lu铆s Mendes (68) has pulled into the lead in recent weeks against center-left Henrique Gouveia e Melo (65). But will it be enough to clinch things in the first round? |
| Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? View market → | 99%+93% |
| Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%? View market → | 5%-70% |
| Will the assassination of Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched news on Google this year? View market → | 99%+40% |
| Fed decision in December? | 5d |
| Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next? | 26d |
| Where will Giannis be traded? | 12h ago |
| What will Jim Cramer say during TBPN on December 4? | 12h ago |
| Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | 13h ago |
| Honduras Presidential Election | $3.07M |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 28 - December 5, 2025? | $2.68M |
| Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? | $2.15M |
| Avalanche vs. Islanders | 7h |
That's all for today. If you're waiting for the launch of Polymarket USA, make sure you're on the wait list. Get Priority Access 馃 |
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