Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. What's happening today: No Fly Zone? Odds of a US-Venezuela military engagement have risen significantly following Trump's declaration yesterday of Venezuelan airspace to be "completely closed." The action seems to have caught some U.S. officials by surprise and is not an internationally-accepted no fly zone. |
Wicked Flop? Odds for the Wicked sequel to be top grossing film of the year were trading as high as 65%, but have collapsed in the last 72 hours. Wicked: For Good is projected to pull in $85-93m over the holiday weekend...not enough to catch up to the current frontrunner that was released in April. |
Vance Slipping? Odds for J.D. Vance to clinch the 2028 Republican nomination have ticked down in recent days. The non-Vance field remains fractured, with Marjorie Taylor Greene, Marco Rubio, and Donald Trump Jr. picking up points in recent weeks. |
| Will Franco Parisi endorse José Antonio Kast for President of Chile? View market → | 41%+27% |
| >3.1 million TSA travelers any day November 23-30? View market → | 56%+16% |
| Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31? View market → | 14%-16% |
| Romania: Bucharest Mayoral Election | 7d |
| Largest Company end of November? | 19m |
| Odds of US x Venezuela military engagement in 2025 on Monday? | 7h ago |
| Odds Nasralla wins Honduras presidential election Sunday? (4-6 PM ET) | 13h ago |
| Honduras Presidential Election Second Place | 14h ago |
| English Premier League Winner | $5.87M |
| Top Spotify Artist 2025 | $3.04M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | $2.48M |
| #1 Searched Passings on Google this year? | $2.85M |
| 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner | 231d |
That's all for today. If you're waiting for the launch of Polymarket USA, make sure you're on the wait list. Get Priority Access 🦅 |
