Charges likely after Minnesota daycare exposé

December 26th, 2025 Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. What we're watching today: Top Stories Daycare Drama Independent journalist Nick Shirley released a viral investigation on fraud in Minnesota's taxpayer‑funded childcare programs, centering on an apparently empty Minneapolis daycare that has received millions in public funds. Charges are likely in this case. Read more → 90% Complete 2026 Ukraine ceasefire odds are up 10% on Zelenskyy's visit to Mar-a-Lago today to discuss Trump's peace plan amid heavy Russian aerial bombardment of Kiev. Zelenskyy has called the Trump plan roughly "90%" complete. Check odds → California Billionaires The NYT reports that California billionaires including Google's Larry Page and Peter Thiel are considering leaving the state over a proposed wealth tax. The measure would impose a 5% tax on state residents worth more than $1b. Odds the tax passes are up 6% in recent days. Check odds → ​ Breaking News Odds Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30? View market → 22% -1% Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31? View market → 20% -4% Nothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition View market → 90% -2% See all Breaking → ​ Ending Soon Ends In What will Trump say during Netanyahu event on Monday? 10h Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Monday? 10h Number of TSA passengers December 22 - 28? 10h Who will die in Stranger Things: Season 5? 2d See all Ending Soon → ​ New Listed Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30? 17h ago Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by...? 18h ago What will Trump say during Netanyahu event on Monday? 18h ago See all New → ​ Hot Polymarkets Volume Fed decision in January? $2.87M 2026 NBA Champion $1.62M Epstein blackmail evidence released by...? $1.36M Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? $1.29M See all Hot Polymarkets → ​ Top Sports Starts In 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 203d Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgios 10h 76ers vs. Thunder 6h Pistons vs. Clippers 12h See all Top Sports → ​ ​ Top Comments Powered by @Poly_Archive ​ If you have any feedback on Polymarket, drop us a line at support@polymarket.com. If you don't wish to receive these emails you can unsubscribe here. 1280 Lexington Avenue New York, NY 10028 U.S.