He could be out by July

January 8th, 2026 Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. The situations we are monitoring this morning: Top Stories Iran Protests Spread Protests in Iran have now spread to all main cities and are similar in size to the 2022 Mahsa Amini demonstrations. The death toll has passed 20, but the regime has not yet shut down internet access or fully flooded the streets with security forces, as with previous rounds of protest. Odds have doubled in the past week for Khamenei to leave power by July. Check odds → Sharps on Shutdown Overall, odds of another U.S. government shutdown by end of January are declining. But two of Polymarket's most winning traders, "Domer" and "Slight-" have amassed sizable positions on "Yes." What do they know? Peep wallet → Doge Moon Mission Odds have doubled in early trading for the first ever cryptocurrency-supported moon mission to launch this year. A collab between Dogecoin, SpaceX, and the NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, the Doge-1 moon mission aims to put a small imaging satellite into lunar orbit. Check odds → ​ Breaking News Odds Will Trump establish a Gaza "Board of Peace" by March 31? View market → 85% +14% Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30? View market → 53% +14% Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? View market → 58% +13% See all Breaking → ​ Ending Soon Ends In Trump approval rating on January 9? 12h NVIDIA (NVDA) closes week of Jan 5 at ___? 1d HLTV Awards: Player of the Year 1d See all Ending Soon → ​ New Listed Human moon landing in 2026? 14h ago Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan in 2026? 14h ago Measles cases in U.S. by January 31? 14h ago See all New → ​ Hot Polymarkets 24H Volume New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? $11.63M Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? $7.33M Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 $5.85M Portugal Presidential Election $2.87M See all Hot Polymarkets → ​ Top Sports Starts In Super Bowl Champion 2026 31d 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 192d 2026 NBA Champion 173d Pacers vs. Hornets 12h See all Top Sports → ​ Whale Moves "Yes" No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? $388.8K humanbeans "Yes" Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026? $112.5K gopfan2 "No" Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026? $192.9K circleraybaococoboba See all Whale Moves → ​ Top Comments Powered by @Poly_Archive Last Word PIE HARD How Pentagon pizza delivery data sniffed out Trump's Venezuela operation 14 minutes early. Read more → ​ If you have any feedback on Polymarket, drop us a line at support@polymarket.com. If you don't wish to receive these emails you can unsubscribe here. 1280 Lexington Avenue New York, NY 10028 U.S.