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December 23rd, 2025 Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. What we're watching today:  Client List? A new tranche of thousands of Epstein files dropped yesterday. In it were some extremely unlikely names, including Stephen Colbert, Jay-Z, and AOC. There's still a decent chance the full Epstein client list is released by mid-2026, even though the DOJ has insisted it doesn't exist. |
SpaceX Stimmy for Tesla Owners? Bill Ackman proposed on X that Elon Musk take SpaceX public by merging it a company he controls. This would allow Musk to offer SpaceX shares to Tesla shareholders and other designated individuals. Could it happen? |
Greenland 2026 Denmark's foreign minister on Monday said he was "deeply upset" by US President Donald Trump's appointment of a special envoy to Greenland who has declared wanting to annex the island. Could it happen? It's a longer shot than the Ackman's SpaceX scheme but not outside the realm of possibility. |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31? View market → | 6%-5% |
| TikTok sale announced in 2025? View market → | 99%+8% |
| Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30? View market → | 42%+23% |
| What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? | 12h |
| How many gifts will Santa deliver in 2025? | 1d |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) closes week of Dec 22 at ___? | 3d |
| U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by March 31? | 12h ago |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition | 12h ago |
| U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31? | 12h ago |
| Will Trump release Epstein files by...? | $20.15M |
| TikTok sale announced by...? | $2.37M |
| 2nd Largest company end of 2025? | $2.23M |
Whale Moves | "Washington State" Washington State vs. Utah State | $272.6K |
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| "No" Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | $467.6K |
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