Stranger Things Finale: Eleven Was Too Obvious

December 31st, 2025 Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. What we're watching today: Top Stories Stranger Things "A long-time fan favorite meets his end in a way that feels tragically inevitable..." Polymarket traders are reading the IMDB tea leaves to predict which character(s) will not make it out alive. Odds for Eleven to get killed off in tonight's finale were trading as high as 70% but have plunged in recent days. Check odds → Bank Failure Bingo Polymarket traders are calling B.S. on rumors that volatility in the silver market has caused a large global bank to go bust. Odds for any of the suspect megabanks to blow up by Q3 are well under 10%. Least risky banks include Goldman and BNP Paribas. See the most risky banks after the jump. Check odds → Dems' House Comeback Odds for the Democrats to win the House in 2026 touched an all time high of 80% yesterday before falling slightly. A historically large wave of Republican retirements and a consistent Democrat edge in the generic ballot (+3 to +5) seem to be driving the move. Republicans are still favored to hold the Senate. Check odds → ​ Breaking News Odds Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $185–190 in 2025? View market → 78% +41% Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31? View market → 15% -18% Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31? View market → 41% -20% See all Breaking → ​ Ending Soon Ends In Which countries will recognize Palestine in 2025? 9h Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with in 2025? 9h Trump approval rating on December 31? 9h Will the New Year's Eve ball not drop? 9h See all Ending Soon → ​ New Listed HLTV Awards: Top 5 players of 2025 12h ago Will Marty Supreme make 70 million or more domestically by January 31? 20h ago Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? 20h ago See all New → ​ Hot Polymarkets 24H Volume Maduro out by...? $4.01M Elon Musk # tweets December 26 - January 2, 2026? $2.30M Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin by ___? $7.41M Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch? $21.34M See all Hot Polymarkets → ​ Top Sports Starts In Pelicans vs. Bulls 9h NBA MVP 160d Magic vs. Pacers 5h Nuggets vs. Raptors 10h Jets vs. Red Wings 9h See all Top Sports → ​ Whale Moves "Illinois" Spread: Tennessee (-3.5) $483.2K Latina "Yes" Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? $388.8K poorsob "Princeton Tigers" Spread: Vermont Catamounts (-3.5) $329.8K Latina "Yes" Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? $313.8K jslxyf See all Whale Moves → Last Word What Smart Money Knows "The Oracle by Polymarket" on Substack interviews traders who spot what others miss: the political outsider who saw Mamdani at 8%, the competitive forecaster who predicted Israel's Iran strike months early. From elections, to finance, to geopolitics, learn to see the world like a world-class forecaster. Subscribe Free → ​ If you have any feedback on Polymarket, drop us a line at support@polymarket.com. If you don't wish to receive these emails you can unsubscribe here. 1280 Lexington Avenue New York, NY 10028 U.S.